GROWING SUPPORT FOR NO DEAL BREXIT ACCORDING TO POLL

Support for a no-deal Brexit is growing in the face of the European Union’s refusal to help salvage Theresa May’s deal according to a ComRes poll for Brexit Express, the pro-Brexit campaign group, founded by Jeremy Hosking.

The proportion of voters agreeing that the UK should leave without a deal if the EU refused concessions reached 44%. Fewer than 1 in 3 (30%) disagree with the notion that if the EU refuses to make any more concessions, the UK should leave without a deal, with most voters (55%) agreeing with the proposition that they ‘really don’t care how we do it, I just want Brexit to be sorted’.

The sense of fair play from voters is also clear, with 60%, including 1 in 3 current Remainers, say that irrespective of how they voted, the 2016 result should be respected and two-thirds of voters (64%) think Remain-supporting MPs in Leave seats should not try to stop Brexit. Three-quarters of voters (73%) think MPs who change party between elections should be forced to stand down and fight a by-election.

  • People still don’t feel the parties are listening – 81% think ‘most politicians don’t take into account the views of ordinary people’
  • People still also don’t feel they are offered a decent choice of who to vote for (69%) despite TIG emerging onto the scene
  • There is even a clear warning from 6 in 10 that civil disobedience is more likely if we fail to leave the EU than leaving with No Deal; including even 44% of Remainers

Despite ‘Project Fear’, 47% think life would pretty much continue as normal and only 31% go as far as to say they don’t think it will. Only 31% do not think the UK economy would benefit from being outside the regulatory constraints of the EU.

Most leavers, 56%, would, at the prospect of a WTO deal, be ‘excited about having the freedom to make our own laws’ and the same proportion would be ‘relieved that this part of Brexit at least will be over’. Remainers, in contrast, are more negative about a WTO deal but the proportion who would fear for their job, at 17%, is relatively modest.

Despite this optimism, voters cast serious doubt over whether the current crop of political leaders are up to the job:

  • Just 6% say Parliament is emerging from Brexit in a good light
  • Over the past 12 months the proportion who think the Government’s handling of the Brexit negotiations can best be summed up as a ‘shambles’ has increased from 44% to fully 66%
  • 76% say the Government has handled Brexit negotiations badly
  • But just one in five (20%) think Corbyn would have done a better job of it than Theresa May
  • Voters also see Corbyn’s conversion to supporting a 2ndreferendum as the result of force (69%) rather than integrity (31%) – this 69% even includes half (46%) of current and 56% of 2017 Labour voters
Exports post-Brexit

The implications of Theresa May’s deal, and the benefits of a WTO Brexit, have not been sold well to the public:

“If the UK leaves the EU without a deal, the EU would be likely to discriminate against UK exports by setting tariffs that are higher than those for exports from other non-EU countries”

38% think it’s true, only 18% false, 44% DK. Only 1 in 4 (26%) know that it would be illegal for the EU to discriminate against the UK by doing so.

Voters are in the dark over what the backstop really means in that only 1 in 4 (27%) know that the UK would not be free to make our own trade deals.

People are however more positive about some of the aspects of leaving under WTO terms:

  • 68% recognise the UK would be free to make trader deals with other non-EU countries, independently of the EU
  • 59% know the UK would not be required to follow EU regulations

However, there are concerns about lorry queues at major ports (56%) and shortages of both some non-essential items (50%) as well as essential items (42%). Will Brexit satisfy the reasons for the Leave vote?

Yes, according to public expectations:

  • 61% expect the UK will be able to make more of its own laws post-Brexit; only 23% do not
  • 55% expect the UK to have more control over its borders; only 28% do not
  • 55% also expect the UK to be able to negotiate trade deals ‘which will benefit the UK economy’; only 28% do not
  • 52% expect the UK’s financial obligations to the UK ‘will reduce significantly’; only 27% do not
Looking to the positive

The Government needs to take note that British voters also think they have been taken for fools – 64% say that by exploiting the divisions within Westminster during the Brexit negotiations, ‘the EU has treated the UK unduly harshly’. Even a large proportion of Remainers (43%) think that.

The party creating a positive vision of the country post-Brexit will surely stand to benefit electorally: voters are so fed up with the unremitting diet of gloom that the proportion who believe that, post-Brexit, the UK ‘should position itself as the lowest tax, business-friendliest country in Europe’ has increased from 48% to 63% in less than two months.

However, although the public doubt whether the current lot of politicians are up to it, more than half the public, 56%, believe that the UK post-Brexit ‘can become a great, self-governing, free trading nation once again, if politicians are determined enough to seize the opportunity. Encouragingly, this includes 1 in 4 Remainers (24%).

Brexit Express founder, Jeremy Hosking commented: “Remain propagandists have converted WTO exit into “No Deal” and “crashing out”, an Orwellian Act of dishonesty that even trumps May’s non-Brexit -big-business Brexit deal. Very well. We must go to the barricades and glorify No Deal. No Deal ends the EU blackmail and the EU’s bullying. It ends Uncertainty. It ends our national humiliation in which some of our leaders are colluding. The entire Article “shifty” process is a trap for departing states and it has made us an international laughing stock. MP’s who support The Maybot deal or who take no deal off the table leave us at the mercy of an increasingly rogue Brussels bureaucracy. They will be shamed and “Chaimberlained “ for the rest of their political careers.”

ENDS

For full polling results please visit: https://www.comresglobal.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Brexit-Express-Poll-March-2019_updated3.pdf

Notes to editors:
Methodology note: ComRes interviewed 2,042 GB adults online between 4th and 5th March 2019. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults by age, gender, region and social grade. Voting intention questions were also weighted by past vote recall and likelihood to vote and all other questions also weighted by 2016 EU Referendum results. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

billboard-campaign

Have a question or want to know more?

Contact Us