August 13, 2018
• 52% of voters would support a single-issue political party pushing for Brexit as ‘quickly and as fully as possible’
• Labour leave voters unaware of Labour’s official Brexit stance
• Just 10% of voters believe the Government is doing a good job managing Brexit
A new ComRes poll of 10,000 voters in Labour-held constituencies which voted Leave at the Brexit referendum has revealed considerable disappointment with the handling of Brexit. 52% *of those questioned say they would consider supporting a single-issue political party pushing for Brexit ‘as quickly and fully as possible’, with the figure rising to 75% amongst Leave voters.
The poll, commissioned on behalf of Brexit Express, a pressure group established in 2016 by city financier, Jeremy Hosking, also showed that 36% of 2017 Conservative voters would ‘definitely consider’ supporting such a party, which points if not to an outright victory for such a party, then considerable disruptive potential.
Jeremy Hosking said: “This polling reveals that no matter where voters’ political allegiances lie, they are deeply disappointed by the response of the main parties to what was a clear democratic instruction. The polling also reveals that the narrative constructed by our political class to explain the result bears no examination, nor are the public fobbed off by spurious excuses to run the referendum again. In this, as in so many things, the British party-political system looks bereft of ideas, baffled by democracy and bankrupt on accountability. Brexit Express is ready to step in to help ensure no backsliding on Brexit and an end to the vindictive culture wars that have been declared on ex-metropolitan Britain.”
Meanwhile, confusion reigns over where Labour stands on Brexit, even among voters who backed the party at the 2017 election. Perhaps unsurprisingly given the Labour Party’s low profile over Brexit, 51% of voters in Leave-voting Labour-held seats do not think the Labour Party’s official policy is to support Brexit. This includes most 2016 Leave and Remain voters, and even most (51%) 2017 Labour voters.
A significant number of voters believe the process of departing the EU is ‘not well’ handled rising to 78% among 2017 Labour supporters. 70% of all voters polled said the Government was taking a ‘ridiculously long time implementing Brexit and needs to move faster to complete it’, rising to 84% amongst Leave voters. Only 10% of all voters polled believed the Government ‘seems to be managing the Brexit process well’.
But the poll busts the myth that the referendum result was ‘sending a message’ to politicians whom they felt were not listening to their concerns, with only 23% of Leave voters saying that was their main reason. Control over law-making was the top motivation (71%), followed by control over immigration (67%) and then over borders generally (67%). A substantial proportion, 53%, cited as a factor that they felt British culture and traditions were being destroyed by immigration.
Meanwhile, 52% of Leave voters believed that Britain had a better economic future outside the EU.
However, while the appetite for a referendum re-run is low, if it were repeated tomorrow, this polling suggests a narrow remain win, 45% would vote Remain and 43% Leave, translating in these constituencies into a Remain win by 51% to 49%.
Of 2016 Leave voters who would switch to Remain today, the number one reason is because “the Govt is making such a mess of Brexit that I want it stopped” (61%) but a majority (53%) also believe the UK would be better off economically to stay in the EU.
Of 2016 Remain voters who would now vote Leave, there is a three-way split in reasons between ‘I realise the UK won’t be isolated from our European neighbours’ (33%), ‘by being difficult in negotiations with the British Govt I would vote Leave now to send a message’ (33%), and ‘I think the UK would be better off economically if it leaves the EU’ (32%).
Leave voters found Nigel Farage the most convincing advocate for a Leave at 59%, with Boris Johnson on 53% and Michael Gove polling 25%. Voters on the other hand, found Angela Merkel the most convincing advocate for Remain, at 35%, with David Cameron polling 28% and George Osbourne 17%.
Notes to editors:
*The figure of 52% overall is higher than the national figure supporting a new centre-ground party, as revealed by polling from BMG Research exclusively for the Independent. The polling found that 43% would ‘definitely’ or ‘potentially’ consider backing the new party, while 35% said they would not or would be ‘unlikely to’.
ComRes polling: Sample size: 10,139 residents polled online, across Leave-voting
constituencies in England & Wales that returned a Labour MP in 2017. Data were weighted to be demographically representative by age and gender.
Full tables available to view here: http://www.comresglobal.com/polls/brexit-express-brexit-poll-august-2018/
Brexit Express http://www.brexitexpress.co.uk